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PUB:EURONEXT PARISPublicis Groupe SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

$79.51

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Public Service Enterprise Group (PUB) trades at $79.51, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $94.23, implying roughly a 13% upside. The stock’s forward P/E of 16.9 is comfortably under the industry average of 22, while the dividend yield of 3.37% and a payout ratio of 57% suggest a healthy cash‑return profile. Revenue is expanding at a robust 19.4% YoY and operating margins sit near 28%, underscoring solid growth for a regulated utility. The beta of 0.29 and a modest 30‑day volatility of 21.5% point to low systematic risk, though the sector’s regulatory environment adds a medium‑level risk component. Technically, the 20‑day SMA (78.73) remains under the 50‑day (80.42) and 200‑day (81.69) averages, confirming a bearish longer‑term trend, yet the MACD line has crossed above its signal, generating a bullish histogram and a “bullish” MACD signal. Volume is increasing, support sits at $76.05 and resistance at $82.16, while the Fear & Greed Index sits at an extreme‑greed 91.6, indicating strong market enthusiasm.
Given the undervalued valuation, strong dividend, and accelerating earnings, the stock is positioned for a medium‑ to long‑term upside, but short‑term price action may hover around the near‑term support as the bearish SMA alignment persists. Investors should monitor the next earnings release for confirmation of growth momentum and any regulatory updates that could affect cash flows.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish SMA alignment suggests limited upside in the next few weeks
  • Support at $76.05 provides a floor with limited downside risk
  • Attractive dividend yield offers income while awaiting price consolidation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to DCF fair value and industry multiples
  • Strong revenue growth and operating margins for a regulated utility
  • Robust dividend yield and sustainable payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Stable, regulated cash flows with low beta and modest volatility
  • Long‑term upside potential of ~13% based on intrinsic valuation
  • Consistent dividend policy supporting total return expectations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.40%
Profit Margin17.69%
P/E Ratio17.6
ROE13.44%
ROA3.66%
Debt/Equity141.01
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$3.5B
Free Cash Flow$-171750000
Industry P/E22.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.0
Support$76.05
Resistance$82.16
MA 20$78.73
MA 50$80.42
MA 200$81.69
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$94.23
Target Price$89.75
Upside/Downside12.88%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.37%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility21.52%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.